At the same time, one of the most dangerous potential scenarios is the simultaneous outbreak of two large-scale crises—a Russian attack against a NATO member state and a Chinese operation against Taiwan. Ukrainian diplomat Ihor Dolhov expressed this view in his program “Ihor Dolhov’s Program,” which was released on Ukrinform’s YouTube channel.
He noted that Ukraine possesses Patriot anti-aircraft missile launchers but currently faces a shortage of missiles to counter Russian ballistic attacks. According to Dolhov, the problem with stocks of such missiles is not limited to Ukraine. “There are fewer of them in the United States. There are fewer of them in Europe. There are fewer of them in other countries,” the diplomat noted.
Read also:
Kyslytsia: Putin has no incentive to negotiate as he counts on Ukraine splitting apart this winter
Dolhov attributes this situation, in particular, to the extensive use of American weapons during the Gulf War.
At the same time, Russia continues its massive attacks on Ukraine and is striking Ukrainian ports, creating additional risks not only to the country’s security but also to its economy. According to Dolhov, Russian strikes have significantly hampered exports through Black Sea ports, and a further blockade of Ukrainian agricultural exports could have consequences for global food security. “A humanitarian crisis, a food crisis due to a shortage of wheat and grains on the market. Russia is also threatening to freeze Ukraine out this winter,” the diplomat noted.
He emphasized that, at the same time, the international security situation is deteriorating: Russia is escalating its threats against European countries and Japan, while the war in the Middle East is diverting a significant portion of U.S. military resources.
According to Dolhov, this creates additional opportunities for China to increase pressure around Taiwan.
Read also:FM
Sybihacalls on partners and Ukrainians abroad to help strengthen air defense following massive Russian
The diplomat cited the simultaneous outbreak of two large-scale crises—a Russian attack against one of the NATO member states and a Chinese operation against Taiwan—as one of the most dangerous potential scenarios. “And NATO will have no means to respond. Nor will the United States be able to help either Europe or Taiwan. They will be completely tied up in the war in the Persian Gulf,” Dolhov stated.
According to him, under such conditions, Europe must focus not only on finding a new format for negotiations but, above all, on strengthening its ability to deter Russia and compel it to engage in genuine negotiations.
Earlier, The Atlantic reported that NATO leadership is taking increasingly seriously the scenario of a simultaneous attack by Russia on Europe and by China on Taiwan. At the same time, the U.S. and NATO are not prepared for a simultaneous war with Russia and China.