Most of Wall Street is rising even as stocks of computer chipmakers continue to tumble worldwide. Oil prices, meanwhile, are easing further from the two-month high they hit last week.
The S&P 500 rose 0.3 per cent in afternoon trading, but the modest move masked big swings underneath the surface. The Dow Jones was up 628 points, or 1.2 per cent. The Nasdaq composite, which is full of AI stocks, was mostly unchanged after briefly dropping 9.3 per cent below its record set last month.
The Australian sharemarket is set to rise, with futures at 5am AEST pointing to a jump of 78 points, or 0.9 per cent, at the open. The ASX added 0.6 per cent on Tuesday. The Australian dollar was trading at US69.77¢.
On Wall Street, Apple became just the second company ever to achieve a $US5 trillion ($7.2 trillion) market valuation.
The iPhone maker’s shares rose as much as 1.8 per cent to $US342.89 early in the session, pushing the company’s market capitalisation to above $US5 trillion for the first time before falling back below the mark as shares eased. Nvidia closed at a record $US5.7 trillion on May 14, but it has since lost roughly $US1 trillion in valuation. Apple is now the biggest company in the S&P 500 Index.
The majority of the US market rose after more companies delivered stronger profits for the spring than analysts expected. Coca-Cola climbed 4.3 per cent after its revenue rose 7 per cent despite what CEO Henrique Braun called “a dynamic consumer landscape.”
Sherwin-Williams rallied 8.8 per cent, and Illinois Tool Works rose 4.1 per cent after both likewise reported stronger earnings for the latest quarter than analysts expected. Stock prices generally follow the trend of corporate profits over the long term, and expectations are high for this most recent round with the US stock market still near its all-time high.
Such expectations are weighing particularly heavily on stocks of chipmakers and other companies that have been huge winners from the boom in artificial-intelligence technology.
Micron Technology’s stock has more than tripled this year following gangbuster growth, for example. During the quarter through May 28, its revenue more than quadrupled from a year earlier.
But worries are rising about whether such growth is sustainable. Big spenders on computer memory could pull back on their investments if AI does not produce as much profit or productivity as promised. Lower-cost AI models from China could also mean less demand for memory and computing power than earlier expected.
Micron dropped 8.9 per cent and was the heaviest weight on the S&P 500. Others also helping to drag the market lower were Advanced Micro Devices, down 7.2 per cent, and Applied Materials, down 8 per cent.
The losses for AI chip stocks were even sharper earlier in the day in other markets worldwide.
Sharp drops for SK Hynix and Samsung Electronics dragged South Korea’s Kospi index down 10.8 per cent. The market’s losses were so big that trading was temporarily halted at times in Seoul.
“We believe the market was likely spooked by the progress of China’s chipmaking equipment capabilities, and was worried that this progress would threaten the competitive position of global chipmaking and chip equipment leaders,” said equity analyst Jing Jie Yu of Morningstar.
“That said, we believe the sell-off today is largely a knee-jerk reaction and overdone,” he said. The dominant position of global chipmaking leaders is unlikely to be threatened meaningfully, he said.
Several huge spenders on AI chips and data centres are scheduled to report their latest quarterly results this week, which could offer updates on how much they’re planning to invest. Meta Platforms and Microsoft are reporting on Wednesday (US time), while Amazon is due on Thursday (US time).
Because AI superstar stocks have grown so big, their movements carry more weight on the S&P 500 and other indexes than many other companies. But Wall Street could hold up despite their swings if other, less-loved areas of the market are able to keep rising. It’s a rotation that some strategists have suggested could be healthy for the overall stock market.
In the oil market, the price for a barrel of Brent crude to be delivered in October fell 4.6 per cent to $US81.94.
It’s been falling since late last week, when the price for a barrel to be delivered in September briefly shot as high as $US102.
Pushing up on prices have been worries that worsening fighting in the Middle East could slow the global flow of oil. On the other side, though, are hopes that the United States and Iran could still negotiate something to allow oil tankers to use the Strait of Hormuz to move crude.
Lower oil prices helped to ease Treasury yields in the bond market. The yield on the 10-year Treasury fell to 4.60 per cent from 4.65 per cent..
A weaker-than-expected reading on confidence among US consumers also weighed on yields. Fewer consumers are saying they feel good about current business conditions, according to the latest survey released by the Conference Board.
The drop in oil prices helped push traders to trim their bets that the Federal Reserve could announce a hike to interest rates following its latest meeting on Thursday (AEST). They’re forecasting a 29.4 per cent probability, down from more than 36 per cent a day before, according to data from CME Group.
Higher rates could keep a lid on inflation, but they would also slow the economy by making it more expensive for US households and businesses to borrow. Long-term mortgage rates have already hit their highest level in nearly a year, chilling the housing industry.
AP
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